Amazon Tipping Point Could Accelerate Global Warming, But Sure, Tell Me About Your Recycling

Photography of a scorched rainforest clearing beside a tidy blue recycling bin, harsh midday sun, dry haze, deadpan composition, wide shot, muted greens and ash

Bernardo Flores at EqualSea Lab modeled the Amazon flipping from rainforest to savanna. My neighbor Linda just rinsed a yogurt cup. These are not the same intervention. I am being calm about this.

Bernardo Flores and the team at EqualSea Lab — a climate research group at the University of Santiago de Compostela in Spain — have modeled what happens when the Amazon stops being a rainforest and becomes a dry savanna. Spoiler: the feedback loops eat your thermostat.

The Amazon currently stores roughly 150 to 200 billion tonnes of carbon. Flip a third of that and you've released, by my arithmetic, about 220 gigatonnes of CO₂ — eleven years of total human fossil emissions, vented from one biome, while Linda from down the hall triumphantly rinses a single-serve yogurt cup.

Christian Poirier at Amazon Watch has been saying this for a decade. Meanwhile Geoffrey two doors down idles his 2008 Tahoe for nine minutes every morning to "warm the leather." I have timed him. Twice.

Your blue bin is not load-bearing.

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Based on the original article "What will the Amazon rainforest look like in 100 years?".